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Post Info TOPIC: SK and JG: Working Towards Somaliaisation of South
Kuot Kuot


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SK and JG: Working Towards Somaliaisation of South
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Folks, source of these two articles written by John A. Akech (prof.) is southsudannet@yahoo.groups. Thanks.


SK and JG: Working Towards Somaliaisation of South Sudan? (1)


John A. Akec


13 November 2004


UK


To Somaliaise an organisation or a country is to reduce the power of a central authority to something far below zero. And by SK I mean Salva Kiir Mayar. JG is for John Garang Mabior. BM means Bona Malwal Madut, and AA means Abel Alier Kuach. JL is for Joseph Lagu. RM is for Riek Machar Teny, and LM is for Lam Akol Ajawein. WI is for Wani Iga. GOSS is for Government of South Sudan. M is for Machakos Protocol. R is for Revolution passed or coming. D is for Democracy lost or regained. G is for governance nonexistent. C is for collective leadership undermined or C-in-C gone too far. And don’t you worry if your personality cult or letters are missing from this list as it is not exhaustive by any means. Finally, L is for leadership in crisis.


Oh no, crisis? What crisis? I can hear many of you say. Excuse my informal style. We can do with a sporty spirit and a bit of humour (if we can afford it) at these very difficult of times. You are better off laughing off your head than crying out your eyes to crimson red. A bit of laughter concentrates one’s mind. Her SK and JG are quite central to what I am about to address in this posting.


Enter our main theme for the article: we have a gossip in hand that is growing louder and wider by day. The rumours of impending confrontation between John Garang and his second in command, Salva Kiir, are now real as ever. The SPLA officials are in complete denial. However South Sudan is not any different from the rest of the world where gossip and politics go hand-in-hand as inseparable bedfellows. Speculations or not, we need to react and act upon these gossips so that none of it may come to materialise (will be a job well done!).


So what is the matter?


In a nutshell, the relationships between JG and SK have grown from worse to worst since the signing of Machakos Protocol in July 2002. As head of SPLM/A delegation to peace talks with the government of Sudan, SK made the right of self-determination for the people of South Sudan the corner stone of the whole peace agreement. This right was successfully embedded in the Protocol, albeit qualified with "giving unity a chance" and "making unity attractive." On the other hand, Machakos Protocol angered the core "unionists" in the SPLA. They include JG, Malik Agaar, Pagan Amoum, and Edward Lino and many others. KS was invited to an emergency meeting that was convened in New Site and rebuked for the clause on self-determination that did not include Abyei, South Blue Nile, and Nuba Mountains. Much of the blame was, quite frankly, unfair on SK as it came to be shown later that handling these latter issues separately on a one-by-one basis was the best way of reducing political and historical complexities to be navigated and making a real progress as we have seen. For many, the clause on self-determination referendum after six years is the real seller of Machakos. And for JG and his core unionists in SPLA/M, self-determination was the weakest link in the Protocol. SK was branded a "separatist" and "bad egg" to be gotten rid of at the first opportune time. When the venue of negotiations was moved to Naivasha in August 2003, SK has been sidelined and JG took over leading the SPLA/M negotiating team. We were told this was to show "SPLA’s leadership commitment." We believed them, gullibly of course. Aparantly, the NDA, the impotent northern opposition group allied to JG was too, infuriated by the self-determination clause. The fear has been that the "separatists" in the SPLA have gained upper hand and were beginning to determination the future direction of the peace settlement. With hindsight, one might say the motivation of NDA members who went to start SLA in Darfur were driven by a motive to undermine a peace process in Naivasha that gives people of South Sudan a say on whether to vote for independence or remain in a united Sudan. Unfortunately or fortunately, depending on how one might look at it, the mushrooming of liberation movements in the North will increase the chances of South Sudan walking away from Sudan union even before the transitional period had scarcely begun. Nonetheless, JG has climbed the Machakos bandwagon, as a matter of tactic.


What followed next?


Following Machakos SK has been harassed at every corner and turn. His association with Southern political figure, Bona Malwal, drew further criticism from JG inner circle allegedly because BM paid a visit to Khartoum early this year. SK responded by citing association of JG with Abel Alier who has been an advisor to JG at Naivasha peace talks. SK argued that BM has contributed widely to the defence of the cause of the South and has lived in exile for over a decade. While AA enjoyed a quite life in his Khartoum’s abode all these years. Who has led down the people of the South the most? Asked SK. Is that a very uncommon common sense JG? I am tempted to add.


And then?


The gossip had it JG has been trying to convince many commanders of SPLA to remove SK with no success. Most recently, JG is said to have plotted the arrest of SK but the plot was exposed and the latter has been boycotting meetings called by JG and has issued commands to various units in Bahar EL Ghazal and Equatoria for commanders not to attend. For a man known for patience that exceeds that of the Old Testament character, Job, this looks like a last straw. To be continued. Stay tuned.


To reveal my thinking, and give you a flavour of what is to come, I would like to argue in my next instalment that SPLA/M, despite attempts and actions of JG, ought to be organisation for both the "unionists" and the "separatists." Trying to weed out "separatist" before the planned referendum is clearly undemocratic of JG.




-- Edited by Kuot Kuot at 16:43, 2004-11-14

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Kuot Kuot


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SK and JG: Working Towards Somaliaisation of South Sudan (2)


By John A. Akec


14 November 2004


UK


I promised to continue this article. This is the second instalment. We will begin with the following definitions which appeared in part 1 (sse below) of the article. In case you read part 1, you might skip the following paragraph and start from the third.


To Somaliaise an organisation or a country is to reduce the power of a central authority to something far below zero. And by SK I mean Salva Kiir Mayar. JG is for John Garang Mabior. BM means Bona Malwal Madut, and AA means Abel Alier Kuach. JL is for Joseph Lagu. RM is for Riek Machar Teny, and LM is for Lam Akol Ajawein. WI is for Wani Iga. GOSS is for Government of South Sudan. M is for Machakos Protocol. R is for Revolution passed or coming. D is for Democracy lost or regained. G is for governance nonexistent. C is for collective leadership undermined or C-in-C gone too far. And don’t you worry if your personality cult or letters are missing from this list as it is not exhaustive by any means. Finally, L is for leadership in crisis.


As I made clear in part 1 of this article, the impending confrontation between JG and SK has not been confirmed at official levels. Nevertheless we do not need to ignore them until they are confirmed. By that time it may be too late and the damage would be difficult to repair. Remember, prevention is better than cure. Recall what I said in part 1 of this article that we need to form opinion and act now so that none of these rumours actually come to materialise. All of you are intelligent enough to interpret what I meant by that. If you think these are baseless and malicious rumours that need to be dismissed outright, I really sympathise with you. For my part, I would like to assume the worst scenario: that the gossip is not just a smoke from thin air with no real fire behind it.


So, where SK or JG might jump next?


There are three scenarios. The first is that JG dismisses SK before the convening of UN Security Council in Nairobi this Thursday 18 November 2004. By declaring that SK has no powers, all the commanders will abandon him (SK). Hopefully, JG will earn the support of UN Security Council, South Sudanese worldwide, the NDA, and international community. It is going to be business as usual and JG will meet Ali Osman Taha in December and hopefully conclude the final agreement. No problem. The assumption here of course is that great majority of commanders are going to disown SK. This could be too an optimistic assumption.


The second scenario is that SK asked for the impeachment of JG for luck of confidence in his leadership and demanding that a new Chairman and C-in-C be elected by SPLA/M members. Even more awkward for JG, he might be asked to be re-elected. Again the "unionists" or the "New Sudanists" will stick with the deposed leader while the rest follow SK and we have two new organisations with different ideologies and visions: one for unity with the North, and the other for independence of South Sudan. Bloody confrontations may follow in a similar fashion to previous wars. The outcome as who will win is very uncertain. The sure losers will be South Sudanese of course because peace talks will be frozen; the NIF government and the devil will be dancing at the margins of the battle ground for "the answered prayers." The international community will withdraw from peace talks. All the hopes will be dashed. We will become another Somalia.


A third scenario is that the both JG and SK down, burry difference at least for now, try to work and lead together as well as with the rest of the Movement until a peace accord is successfully conclude and try to set up a fair, democratic, and transparent GOSS during transitional period and let the people decide in free and unbiased referendum after 6-year transitional period. Here the winners are good common sense, democracy, and the people of South Sudan.


How might international community friends help?


Our international friends, especially the Bush Administration, Britain, Norway, Germany, as well as AU, and others, need to come to realisation that in order to bring comprehensive peace to South Sudan, SPLA/M leadership will have to change from one-man dictatorship to an accountable democratic system, where all the members of the Movement and all South Sudanese-based political movements have some say. President Bush last week, when he met Mr Tony Blair to discuss the future of peace process in the Middle East, made it clear to Palestinian people that they "need to transform to democratic governance if they would like help [from the international community with the establishment of their own state alongside Israel]". This is because since 1994 when Palestinian Authority was established the Late Yasir Arafat ruled with autocratic authority with no transparency whatsoever. Corruption and financial mismanagement ruled the day. The Palestinian people gained nothing from the funds given by various donors including EU and US. It was shocking to learn recently that all the funds given in the name of Palestinian Authority were put in various accounts in European banks under Arafat’s own name! For SPLM/A we have similar situation where very few are exceedingly rich and the great majority of top members of the Movement are poor. We have no illusions that this model will carry through to transitional period where loyalty to JG will come before ability to perform in the public office, and we will see many incompetent square pegs filling round holes. But South Sudanese by tradition are more inclined to democracy. Nothing else will work with them despite years of attempts to turn them into a nation of hero worshipers. I am not a hero worshiper. I know millions of South Sudanese people are not hero worshipers.


The simple mistake SK has committed nothing other than just turning from being a "yes man" controlled like a puppet by JG to an individual in his own right who can follow his instincts and common sense. It is this change which JG now finds hard to swallow.


I am not optimistic that such a plea will not fall on deaf ears. The causes of confusion in Southern movement will be ignored. South Sudan will become another Somalia. Then the International Community will begin to look somewhere for excuses for failing to bring peace to Sudan.



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mayikaher


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Interesting!



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didhan


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Somaliasation of southern Sudan will not be like shifting relief money in basket to europe. it is hard for a brave man to remove one of his eye. If JG is work on such a thing, then he have to allocate the location of his grave before dismissing SK from his position.


Any way keep us inform mr. kuot kuot.



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santino Ajith


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Hi Kuot Kuot


Good information, keep forwarding more of it. JG must find a better way to settle this problem before the south sudanese lost total trust on him. This man like weeding a lot but this time will not spare him. He sucked enough blood from southerners and ought to be gotten rid of.


Santino Ajith



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mayikaher


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Santino Ajith,


The trust is already lost in him.


The question is, can he bring it back?


Anyway that is upto him.



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baguer


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RE: SK and JG: Working Towards Somaliaisation of S
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Yes guys feed us with more information. The big trader had had enough of out adveantages. If SK go again, then one by one the rest will go. So, who will remain to face that huge pretend monster?
Just imagine. I know it is not a good idea to break apart, but at least we should act fairly. Talk to you later.
Ben.



All our dreams can come true, if we have the courage to pursue them.

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Kuot Kuot


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RE: SK and JG: Working Towards Somaliaisation of South
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Guys,


If truly John Garang wanted to kill Salva Kiir, someone should tell him that he got all wrong this time. One thing I know is that, if this is true, Salva won't leave SPLA/M, that leaves us with the question: who will leave the SPLA/M?


Kuot Kuot.



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Deng Santo


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Dear brothers,


Greeting to all of you. So we are in again for another disaster, this time between Mayardit and Garang John. I think John Garang will be making a huge mistake to go against Salva, the only hope for the people of Bhar-el-gazel. If John Garang wants to confront Salva, he will be surprise by the support Salva will get not only from the people of Bhar-el-gazel but from all southerners including people of Bor. I found this interesting article in Sudan.net you can read it, it is a good warning to John Garang.


A STATEMENT BY THE BHAR EL GHAZAL COMMUNITY IN USA

November 11, 2004

Washington, DC


On behalf of the Bahr el Ghazal community in the USA, I would like to make the following statement:


In the last few days we received news from South Sudan that there is a dangerous confrontation pending between Chairman Garang and his Deputy, Commander Salva Kiir Mayardit. We, as the Bahr el Ghazal community living in the USA, would like to clearly and unequivocally state that Commander Salva Kiir Mayardit is our brother and our hero, and that we stand behind him and support him %100 in this episode.

Since 1983, the people of Bahr el Ghazal stood by while their sons and daughters paid the ultimate sacrifice for this movement: they stood by silently while some of their leaders were arrested, humiliated and assassinated within this movement. In spite of all these, Commander Salva Kiir Mayaridt remained an example of loyalty to the movement and to chairman Garang. Unfortunately, now as peace is about to breakout in our homeland, Garang, for reasons known only to him, is trying to yet humiliate another leader of Bahr el Ghazal in the person of Commander Salva Kiir Mayardit.

When is Garang going to stop mistreating the Bahr el Ghazal leadership?

As a response, we, the community of Bahr el Ghazal in the USA, say: Enough is enough. This latest attempt to marginalize Commander Kiir Mayardit will not stand. We urge chairman Garang to back down because the results of this confrontation would be indeed damaging to the movement and to the people of South Sudan. South Sudanese did not pick up arms against northern Sudanese oppression in order to replace it with Garang's dictatorship!

To Commander Salva Kiir Mayardit and all the commanders and the troops who are with him in this difficult hour, we say thank you very much for finally taking a position to restore the dignity and honor of your people and region. This action has been long overdue nevertheless it is an import juncture in the struggle of our people. So stand tall, stand proud knowing that your people are with you, and God bless you all.

Akuei B. Malwal

Secretary General, Bhar el Ghazal Community in USA

Washington, DC, USA


 





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mayikaher


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Kuot Kuot,


"Who will leave the spla/m?" I am sorry, I can't answer you my great ally.


The question is extremely difficult for me.


It is extremely hot to swallow especially for two guys confronting themselves.


 


Mayik Aher.


 



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Achuil Madut


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     Dear Kuot,


                  You right, it is not right for any Great Bar El Gazal comander like Salva to leave SPLA/M. He has right to fight Politically or by any mean because if not him JG would have surrender since 1992 by support of his bitch.


                            Thanks


                             Manol


 



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Deng Dicktor


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Dear All,


This is a tough choice for these two bulls to decide who will leave the SPLM/A.



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santino Ajith


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Hi Mayik Aher


I know many people had lost trust on him but he still have few loyalists within the inner circle of the movement. The one that is now fading away. Winning the whole trust back is a miracle, it need a lot of miles.


Santino Ajith



-- Edited by santino Ajith at 09:40, 2004-11-16

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